Scenario: James is 55 years old, divorced father of two. He is in
good health and is looking to retire in line with his state pension age which
would be 66. He is aiming for a retirement income of £26,000 per annum. The
current source for his retirement income is his pension fund which has a fund
value of £114,500. He will also qualify for the full state pension. He has a
disposable income of approximately £750 per month after essential and social
expenses.
Thoughts: James has 11 years to retirement. When he retires he will qualify for the
new state pension of £7,865 per annum or £151.25 per week. This will leave his
pension fund to make up the shortfall of £18,135 per annum. Based on current
best buy annuity rates of 5.8%, James will require a fund value of £312,672 in
order to purchase a secure retirement income of £18,135 to supplement his state
pension.
If James wants a secure income which can only be
achieved by way of purchasing an annuity, then he would have to start making
some serious pension contributions. This would need to be in the region of £700
per month, provided the fund achieves a consistent growth rate of 7% per annum.
James could also make a one-off contribution of £70,500 now in order to improve
his chances in closing the fund gap.
But how realistic would it be to
achieve 7% growth per year consistently for the next 11 years. Bear in mind
this would also have to be net of fees and if the total cost of your investment
is 1.5% per year you will need your fund manager to return at least 8.5% to
cover their fees too.
This rate of return means James would
need to be invested in a higher risk
category to maximise his possibility of reaching his target growth fund of
£312,672. But realistically, how many of us out there can really afford to save
£700 per month? As for James, despite the fact his disposable income is stated
to be £750 per month, slightly above the amount he needs to save, this is very
tight. I have yet to see accurate and reliable expenditure details. Life is
simply not consistent. Furthermore, he probably only disclosed his standard
social expenses forgetting that amount we tend to spend on impulse.
It would be great if we could
make more impulse decisions to save rather than spend. Investors and savers
need to become more literate on a whole host of things that can affect their
lifestyle in retirement. James’s situation could have been far better if he
saved even a small amount per month consistently from the age of 20, reinvesting
all of his dividend income and benefitting from compound growth.
Putting money aside just feels
like another ‘expense’ and also another ‘task’ and in that sense providers can
assist with technological and software developments. This can facilitate a more
collaborative relationship with the investor by bringing their investments to
their fingertips by making use of mobile and portable devices. This way savings
and investments needn’t feel like they are in a distant place removed from the
investor. By working with the investor to recognise and achieve a particular
financial objective it could give UK investors a solid opportunity to build
their savings and investments portfolio not simply by way of a regular direct
debit but also by way of impulse especially at times when markets are low and
when investors have that extra little amount to put away.
Anyway, back to the topic at
hand, we have established James needs to start investing in a high risk fund
but by no means is this performance target guaranteed and it is this that James
must consider carefully. If he has a Financial Advisor, among many other
things, he or she would be exploring his tolerance,
and capacity to take investment risk
whilst also exploring potential catastrophic
life events.
Tolerance largely relates to James’s psychological and emotional profile
which is usually assessed by way of a psychometric and scenario based
questionnaire. Capacity is about the
portion of your overall wealth that you are effectively investing and/or the
effect a loss in your investment value will have on your lifestyle. Be careful
here though as you may be ok with a loss in your investment in the second year
of your investment but what if it dropped by 50% just before you intended to
withdraw from the market?
Then there’s the case of thinking
about how to mitigate catastrophic
life events that could lead to a loss of income and/or an increase in expenditure
due to paying for healthcare or home support.
All of these things will temper James’
exposure to risk which could mean he has to compromise on meeting his
retirement goals. Compromising may mean reducing the level of secure income he
takes and keeping the remainder of his monies invested in order to allow for
growth or simply taking no secure income thus drawing on his investments
directly. Bear in mind during retirement, James is unlikely to be invested in a
high risk fund in case he were to suffer a very poor year and would need to
divest more of his capital in order to meet his income needs, thus overly
risking his entire retirement income. This in turn means, his potential rewards
would also be significantly lower.
Consider that average life
expectancy is approximately 82 years. This would mean James would need a
retirement income for 16 years.
James could transfer his current
pension into the high risk fund in accordance to his risk profile without any
plans to make any further contributions. If this fund grew at the targeted
growth rate of 7% per annum, he could have a pension fund of £246,740 in 11 years’
time.
Provided he didn’t take his 25% tax free lump sum, he could withdraw £1511.25
per month or £18,135 per year assuming a growth rate of 4% net of charges which
should see him through his retirement.
James has an opportunity to realise
his goals however, it will require a strong need for planning from now and
ongoing reviews of his entire estate, income and ambitions to ensure his
retirement goals are on target. Who knows, he could have forgotten the fact
that he may want to fund his daughter’s wedding sometime in the future.
In any case, the lesson is, invest
now. Think about what goals you could potentially have when you get married,
when you have children, when you could want to take a gap year and then do what you can even if it be by making bitesize contributions now.
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